IMF RESEARCHER

Email: JBLUEDORN@imf.org

Personal WebPage: http://johnbluedorn.com/

Fluent In: French.

Education:

University of California at Berkeley, Ph.D. in Economics (December 2003)

University of Missouri-Columbia, A.B. in Economics and French, minor in East Asian Studies), summa cum laude with honors (May 1995)

Previous Experience:

Senior Economist, Structural Reforms Unit, Research Department, International Monetary Fund (August 2017 - March 2019)

Senior Economist, Advanced Economies Unit, European Department, International Monetary Fund (July 2014 - August 2017)

Economist, Advanced Economies Unit, European Department, International Monetary Fund (January 2014 - June 2014)

Economist, World Economic Studies Division, Research Department, International Monetary Fund, (July 2010 to January 2014)

Lecturer (tenured assistant professor equivalent), Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton, UK, (September 2006 to July 2011)

British Academy Research Fellow, Department of Economics, University of Oxford and Non-stipendiary Research Fellow, Nuffield College (September 2003 to August 2006)

Current Position:

Deputy Division Chief, World Economic Studies Division, Research Department, International Monetary Fund (April 2019 to present)

Country work or Mission Assignment:

Euro Area

Greece

Luxembourg

Denmark

Field of Expertise:

Open Economy Macroeconomics

Banking

Monetary Policy

Development Economics

International Finance

IMF Books and Working Papers:

Gender and Employment in the COVID-19 Recession: Evidence on “She-cessions” , Working Paper No. 2021/095 , March 31, 2021

Strengthening the Euro Area : The Role of National Structural Reforms in Building Resilience , Staff Discussion Notes No. 19/05 , June 13, 2019

Hysteresis in Labor Markets? Evidence from Professional Long-Term Forecasts , Working Paper No. 19/114 , May 23, 2019

Work In Progress : Improving Youth Labor Market Outcomes in Emerging Market and Developing Economies , Staff Discussion Note 19/02 , January 22, 2019

Is the Cycle the Trend? Evidence From the Views of International Forecasters , Working Paper No. 18/163 , July 13, 2018

Reforming Fiscal Governance in the European Union , Staff Discussion Notes No. 15/9 , May 21, 2015

Do Asset Price Drops Foreshadow Recessions? , Working Paper No. 13/203 , October 02, 2013

Toward A Fiscal Union for the Euro Area , Staff Discussion Notes No. 13/9 , September 25, 2013

Toward A Fiscal Union for the Euro Area , Staff Discussion Notes No. 13/9 , September 25, 2013

Capital Flows are Fickle : Anytime, Anywhere , Working Paper No. 13/183 , August 22, 2013

The Growth Comeback in Developing Economies : A New Hope or Back to the Future? , Working Paper No. 13/132 , May 30, 2013

Heterogeneous Bank Lending Responses to Monetary Policy : New Evidence from a Real-time Identification , Working Paper No. 13/118 , May 22, 2013

The Rising Resilience of Emerging Market and Developing Economies , Working Paper No. 12/300 , December 20, 2012

F&D articles

“Harbingers of Recessions,” with Joerg W. Decressin and Marco E. Terrones. Finance and Development. March 2014, vol. 51, no. 1: 40–43.

Other Published Materials

"On the Receiving End? External Conditions and Emerging Market Growth Before, During, and After the Global Financial Crisis,” with Aseel Almansour, Aqib Aslam, and Rupa Duttagupta. 2014. World Economic Outlook – Recovery Strengthens, Remains Uneven, April, chapter 4.

"Breaking through the Frontier: Can Today's Dynamic Low-Income Countries Make It?," with Rupa Duttagupta, Jaime Guajardo, Nkunde Mwase, Shan Chen, and Angela Espiritu. 2013. World Economic Outlook. April, chapter 4: 97-131.

"Resilience in Emerging Market and Developing Economies: Will It Last?" with Abdul Abiad, Jaime Guajardo, and Petia Topalova. 2012. World Economic Outlook. October, chapter 4: 129-171.

"Commodity Price Swings and Commodity Exporters," with Rupa Duttagupta, Andrea Pescatori, and Stephen Snudden. 2012. World Economic Outlook. April, chapter 4: 125-169.

"International Capital Flows: Reliable or Fickle?," with Rupa Duttagupta, Jaime Guajardo, and Petia Topalova. 2011. World Economic Outlook. April, chapter 4: 125-163.

Publications in Journals (Refereed)

“Stopping Contagion with Bailouts: Micro-Evidence from Pennsylvania Bank Networks during the Panic of 1884,” with Haelim Park Anderson. Journal of Banking and Finance. March 2017, vol. 76: 139–149.

“Heterogenous Bank Lending Responses to Monetary Policy: New Evidence From a Real-Time Identification,” with Christopher Bowdler and Christoffer Koch. International Journal of Central Banking. February 2017, vol. 13, no. 1: 95–149.

“Do Asset Price Drops Foreshadow Recessions?,” with Joerg Decressin and Marco E. Terrones. International Journal of Forecasting. April/May 2016, vol. 32: 518–526.

“How vulnerable are emerging markets to external shocks,” with Aseel Almansour, Aqib Aslam, and Rupa Duttagupta, IMF. Journal of Policy Modeling. April 2015, vol. 37, no. 3: 460–483.

“What underlies the recent growth comeback in developing economies?,” with Rupa Duttagupta, Jaime Guajardo, and Nkunde Mwase. Journal of Policy Modeling. July-August 2014, vol. 36, no. 4: 717–744.

"Revisiting the Twin Deficits Hypothesis: The Effect of Fiscal Consolidation on the Current Account," with Daniel Leigh. IMF Economic Review. November 2011, vol. 59, no. 4: 582--602.

"The Open Economy Consequences of U.S. Monetary Policy," with Christopher Bowdler, University of Oxford. Journal of International Money and Finance. March 2011, vol. 30, no. 2: 309--336.

"The Empirics of International Monetary Transmission: Identification and the Impossible Trinity," with Christopher Bowdler, University of Oxford. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking. June 2010, vol. 42, no. 4: 679--713.

"Can Democracy Help? Growth and Ethnic Divisions." Economics Letters. January 2001, vol. 70, no. 1: 121--126.

“The Rising Resilience of Emerging Market and Developing Economies,” with Abdul Abiad, Jaime Guajardo, and Petia Topalova. World Development. August 2015, vol. 72: 1–26.

Email: JBLUEDORN@imf.org

Personal WebPage: http://johnbluedorn.com/

Fluent In: French.

Education:

University of California at Berkeley, Ph.D. in Economics (December 2003)

University of Missouri-Columbia, A.B. in Economics and French, minor in East Asian Studies), summa cum laude with honors (May 1995)

Previous Experience:

Senior Economist, Structural Reforms Unit, Research Department, International Monetary Fund (August 2017 - March 2019)

Senior Economist, Advanced Economies Unit, European Department, International Monetary Fund (July 2014 - August 2017)

Economist, Advanced Economies Unit, European Department, International Monetary Fund (January 2014 - June 2014)

Economist, World Economic Studies Division, Research Department, International Monetary Fund, (July 2010 to January 2014)

Lecturer (tenured assistant professor equivalent), Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton, UK, (September 2006 to July 2011)

British Academy Research Fellow, Department of Economics, University of Oxford and Non-stipendiary Research Fellow, Nuffield College (September 2003 to August 2006)

Current Position:

Deputy Division Chief, World Economic Studies Division, Research Department, International Monetary Fund (April 2019 to present)

Country work or Mission Assignment:

Euro Area

Greece

Luxembourg

Denmark

Field of Expertise:

Open Economy Macroeconomics

Banking

Monetary Policy

Development Economics

International Finance

IMF Books and Working Papers:

Gender and Employment in the COVID-19 Recession: Evidence on “She-cessions” , Working Paper No. 2021/095 , March 31, 2021

Strengthening the Euro Area : The Role of National Structural Reforms in Building Resilience , Staff Discussion Notes No. 19/05 , June 13, 2019

Hysteresis in Labor Markets? Evidence from Professional Long-Term Forecasts , Working Paper No. 19/114 , May 23, 2019

Work In Progress : Improving Youth Labor Market Outcomes in Emerging Market and Developing Economies , Staff Discussion Note 19/02 , January 22, 2019

Is the Cycle the Trend? Evidence From the Views of International Forecasters , Working Paper No. 18/163 , July 13, 2018

Reforming Fiscal Governance in the European Union , Staff Discussion Notes No. 15/9 , May 21, 2015

Do Asset Price Drops Foreshadow Recessions? , Working Paper No. 13/203 , October 02, 2013

Toward A Fiscal Union for the Euro Area , Staff Discussion Notes No. 13/9 , September 25, 2013

Toward A Fiscal Union for the Euro Area , Staff Discussion Notes No. 13/9 , September 25, 2013

Capital Flows are Fickle : Anytime, Anywhere , Working Paper No. 13/183 , August 22, 2013

The Growth Comeback in Developing Economies : A New Hope or Back to the Future? , Working Paper No. 13/132 , May 30, 2013

Heterogeneous Bank Lending Responses to Monetary Policy : New Evidence from a Real-time Identification , Working Paper No. 13/118 , May 22, 2013

The Rising Resilience of Emerging Market and Developing Economies , Working Paper No. 12/300 , December 20, 2012

F&D articles

“Harbingers of Recessions,” with Joerg W. Decressin and Marco E. Terrones. Finance and Development. March 2014, vol. 51, no. 1: 40–43.

Other Published Materials

"On the Receiving End? External Conditions and Emerging Market Growth Before, During, and After the Global Financial Crisis,” with Aseel Almansour, Aqib Aslam, and Rupa Duttagupta. 2014. World Economic Outlook – Recovery Strengthens, Remains Uneven, April, chapter 4.

"Breaking through the Frontier: Can Today's Dynamic Low-Income Countries Make It?," with Rupa Duttagupta, Jaime Guajardo, Nkunde Mwase, Shan Chen, and Angela Espiritu. 2013. World Economic Outlook. April, chapter 4: 97-131.

"Resilience in Emerging Market and Developing Economies: Will It Last?" with Abdul Abiad, Jaime Guajardo, and Petia Topalova. 2012. World Economic Outlook. October, chapter 4: 129-171.

"Commodity Price Swings and Commodity Exporters," with Rupa Duttagupta, Andrea Pescatori, and Stephen Snudden. 2012. World Economic Outlook. April, chapter 4: 125-169.

"International Capital Flows: Reliable or Fickle?," with Rupa Duttagupta, Jaime Guajardo, and Petia Topalova. 2011. World Economic Outlook. April, chapter 4: 125-163.

Publications in Journals (Refereed)

“Stopping Contagion with Bailouts: Micro-Evidence from Pennsylvania Bank Networks during the Panic of 1884,” with Haelim Park Anderson. Journal of Banking and Finance. March 2017, vol. 76: 139–149.

“Heterogenous Bank Lending Responses to Monetary Policy: New Evidence From a Real-Time Identification,” with Christopher Bowdler and Christoffer Koch. International Journal of Central Banking. February 2017, vol. 13, no. 1: 95–149.

“Do Asset Price Drops Foreshadow Recessions?,” with Joerg Decressin and Marco E. Terrones. International Journal of Forecasting. April/May 2016, vol. 32: 518–526.

“How vulnerable are emerging markets to external shocks,” with Aseel Almansour, Aqib Aslam, and Rupa Duttagupta, IMF. Journal of Policy Modeling. April 2015, vol. 37, no. 3: 460–483.

“What underlies the recent growth comeback in developing economies?,” with Rupa Duttagupta, Jaime Guajardo, and Nkunde Mwase. Journal of Policy Modeling. July-August 2014, vol. 36, no. 4: 717–744.

"Revisiting the Twin Deficits Hypothesis: The Effect of Fiscal Consolidation on the Current Account," with Daniel Leigh. IMF Economic Review. November 2011, vol. 59, no. 4: 582--602.

"The Open Economy Consequences of U.S. Monetary Policy," with Christopher Bowdler, University of Oxford. Journal of International Money and Finance. March 2011, vol. 30, no. 2: 309--336.

"The Empirics of International Monetary Transmission: Identification and the Impossible Trinity," with Christopher Bowdler, University of Oxford. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking. June 2010, vol. 42, no. 4: 679--713.

"Can Democracy Help? Growth and Ethnic Divisions." Economics Letters. January 2001, vol. 70, no. 1: 121--126.

“The Rising Resilience of Emerging Market and Developing Economies,” with Abdul Abiad, Jaime Guajardo, and Petia Topalova. World Development. August 2015, vol. 72: 1–26.