Country Reports
2024
July 1, 2024
Paraguay: 2024 Article IV Consultation, Third Review Under the Policy Coordination Instrument, Modification of Targets, and First Review Under the Arrangement Under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility-Press Release; and Staff Report
Description: This paper presents Paraguay’s 2024 Article IV Consultation, Third Review under the Policy Coordination Instrument (PCI), Modification of Targets, and First Review under the Arrangement under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF). The PCI underpins Paraguay's economic strategy and structural objectives of maintaining macroeconomic stability and promoting social welfare and inclusion. The PCI is yielding positive results, though two targets were missed due to the identification of additional unrecorded healthcare-related expenditure. Three reform targets have been met. The new government is committed to continuing reforms guided by the PCI and RSF arrangements. It is crucial for Paraguay to rebuild fiscal buffers, ensure the sustainability of the public servants’ pension fund and enhance supervision of public enterprises to limit contingent risks. Taking decisive action against corruption to minimize reputational risks, reducing informality, and increasing international market integration will make Paraguay a significantly more attractive investment destination, including for green projects. Adaptation and mitigation measures should reduce the country"’s vulnerability to climate change and preserve its substantial natural assets and clean energy matrix.
June 28, 2024
Central African Economic and Monetary Community: Common Policies in Support of Member Countries Reform Programs-Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director
Description: This paper presents a report on the common policies in support of member countries reform programs in the Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC). The CEMAC’s economy lost some momentum in 2023 and the external position deteriorated somewhat, while inflation cooled but remained high. Updated statistics revealed a much more deteriorated fiscal situation than originally estimated. In the absence of decisive corrective actions, and with current policies unchanged, fiscal and external imbalances are set to widen in the medium term, threatening to reverse reserve accumulation and add to financial stability risks. Decisive corrective policies are warranted to address the sustained fiscal slippages and return to fiscal prudence. In order to boost potential output, faster progress is needed on strengthening anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism, governance, and regulatory policies, as well as improving human capital, the business climate, the rule of law, financial inclusion, and regional infrastructure.
June 28, 2024
Seychelles: 2024 Article IV Consultation, Second Reviews Under the Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility and the Arrangement Under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility, Requests for a Waiver of Nonobservance and Modification of Performance Criteria-Press Release; and Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Seychelles
Description: This paper presents Seychelles’ 2024 Article IV Consultation, Second Reviews under the Arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and the Arrangement under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF), Requests for a Waiver of Nonobservance and Modification of Performance Criteria. The government has made considerable progress under the EFF and RSF Arrangements—strengthening fiscal and external buffers, reducing public debt, and enhancing the policy framework to address climate change. Long-term challenges center on the limits to sustainable tourism-based growth, economic diversification, and Seychelles’ high vulnerability to the effects of climate change. The policy framework is guided by the need to preserve macroeconomic and financial sustainability, build fiscal and external buffers, as well as advance prospects for long-term inclusive growth and economic resilience, in line with the objectives under the EFF and RSF. Toward this end, the mission agreed with the authorities on a revised macroeconomic framework and quantitative program targets consistent with the program objectives of steady fiscal consolidation and reduction of public debt over the medium-term.
June 28, 2024
Barbados: Third Reviews Under the Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility, Arrangement Under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility, and Request for Modification of Performance Criteria-Press Release; and Staff Report
Description: This paper presents Barbados’ Third Reviews under the Extended Arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility, Arrangement under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility, and Request for Modification of Performance Criteria. Barbados’ economy has recovered to pre-pandemic levels and the external position has improved. Inflation moderated gradually with the easing of global commodity prices but remained somewhat elevated due to adverse weather conditions that affected some domestic crops, and stronger demand for tourism-related services. Gross domestic product growth is expected to remain strong in 2024, driven by dynamism in tourism and related sectors. Implementation of the home-grown Barbados Economic Recovery and Transformation plan and the ambitious climate policy agenda continues to be strong. The authorities have completed both reform measures for this RSF review. In March, the government tabled a Stormwater Management Act, replacing the existing Prevention of Floods Act. Meanwhile, Cabinet approved the Energy Efficiency and Conservation Policy Framework to reduce energy use of all government agencies and develop efficient public lighting.
June 28, 2024
Islamic Republic of Mauritania: Poverty Reduction and Growth Strategy
Description: This paper presents Islamic Republic of Mauritania’s poverty reduction and growth strategy. With the second Strategy for Accelerated Growth and Shared Prosperity (SCAPP) Action Plan 2021–2025, Mauritania is embarking on a new phase in the implementation of its three-five-year strategy to achieve the vision “The Mauritania we want in 2030.” Mauritania, through its commitment to the implementation of the SCAPP, marks its willingness to initiate a large-scale economic, social and environmental transition, on the path of inclusive growth, economic diversification, social cohesion, respect for fundamental rights and human dignity, peace and respect for the environment. The first Action Plan 2016–2020 demonstrated that the implementation of the SCAPP was able to record convincing results. However, some of the objectives could not be achieved, in particular because of the Coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, which severely affected the world economy, and therefore the Mauritanian economy, which resulted in the emergence of new priorities. This Action Plan 2021–2025 takes into account the lessons learned from the implementation of the first and implements the necessary measures to support the country in its economic recovery and respond to the decisive challenges of the next 5 years, which will be decisive in the preparation of the third Action Plan and the achievement of the 2030 Goals.
June 28, 2024
Central African Republic: Second Review Under the Extended Credit Facility, Requests for a Waiver of Nonobservance of Continuous Performance Criterion, Augmentation of Access, and Financing Assurance Review-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Central African Republic
Description: This paper highlights Central African Republic’s Second Review under the Arrangement under the Extended Credit Facility, Requests for a Waiver of Nonobservance of Continuous Performance Criterion, Augmentation of Access, and Financing Assurances Review. The economy is projected to grow by 1.4 percent in 2024, up from the 0.7 percent posted in 2023, while inflation gradually declines in subsequent years. These projections hinge on expediting reforms to the fuel market. Program implementation was broadly satisfactory considering significant fragilities and uncertainties. Performance under the program has been broadly satisfactory. All but one of the quantitative performance criteria were met, reflecting the authorities’ efforts last December to recover past due taxes and delay spending. The exception was the continuous performance criterion on the nonaccumulation of external arrears, which was missed due to liquidity pressures and the lack of coordination between cash and debt management units. An increase in revenue mobilization in 2024 will hinge on adhering to the action plan. The latter aims to improve the transparency of fuel price structures, align policy reforms with program goals, enhance collaboration among stakeholders, and bolster regulatory enforcement.
June 28, 2024
Ukraine: Fourth Review of the Extended Arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility, Request for Modifications of a Performance Criterion, and Financing Assurances Review-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Ukraine
Description: This paper discusses Ukraine’s Fourth Review of the Extended Arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF), Request for Modification of a Performance Criterion, and Financing Assurances Review. Ukraine’s performance remains strong under the EFF despite challenging conditions. All quantitative performance criteria for end-March were met, and all structural benchmarks through end-June were implemented on time or with a short delay. The Ukrainian economy continues to be resilient although the outlook remains subject to exceptionally high uncertainty. Sustained reform momentum and timely disbursement of external support are necessary to safeguard macroeconomic stability, restore fiscal and debt sustainability, and enhance institutional reforms to lay the path to European Union accession. Timely and predictable external disbursements together with strong domestic resource mobilization and careful liquidity management are necessary for Ukraine to meet its financing needs. Fiscal policies for the remainder of 2024, together with preparation for the 2025 budget, should be underpinned by steadfast revenue mobilization efforts aligned with the National Revenue Strategy.
June 28, 2024
Islamic Republic of Mauritania: Second Reviews Under the Arrangements Under the Extended Credit Facility and the Extended Fund Facility, Requests for Modification of Performance Criteria and a Waiver of Nonobservance of Performance Criterion, and First Review Under the Arrangement Under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility-Press Release; and Staff Report
Description: This paper highlights Islamic Republic of Mauritania’s Second Reviews under the Arrangements under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) and the Extended Fund Facility (EFF), Requests for Modification of Performance Criteria and a Waiver of Nonobservance of Performance Criterion, and First Review under the Arrangement under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF). In 2024, economic growth is expected to improve, while inflation has slowed down significantly. However, the economic outlook remains uncertain. Continued implementation of the programs under the ECF and EFF arrangements, and of the ambitious reform measures to address climate-related vulnerabilities, supported by the RSF arrangement will help address Mauritania’s medium- and long-term challenges and catalyze additional financing from donors and the private sector. End-March 2024 indicative targets for net international reserves, net domestic assets (NDA), new arrears and the present value of newly contracted debt were also met. December 2023 and March 2024 structural benchmarks (SBs) were met. IMF supports the authorities’ request for a modification of the NDA performance criteria for end-June to end-December 2024 from changes to levels, and a modification of two SBs related to governance reforms, in line with IMF technical assistance recommendations.
June 27, 2024
Dominica: 2024 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Dominica
Description: The 2024 Article IV Consultation discusses that the Dominican economy has recovered strongly following the pandemic shock. Real gross domestic product grew by 5.6 percent in 2022 and an estimated 4.7 percent in 2023 returning to pre-pandemic output levels. Policy responses have eroded essential fiscal buffers, despite large Citizenship by Investment (CBI) revenues, which have supported reconstruction, infrastructure development, and climate adaptation. The country remains exposed to shocks, while tight fiscal space constrains development initiatives. The ongoing economic expansion provides an opportunity to rebuild essential buffers and reorient policies toward increasing prospects for more sustained and resilient growth. Dominica’s output has recovered to its pre-pandemic level, reflecting a rebound in tourism and public investment, supported by buoyant CBI revenues. Inflation has subsided from its 2022 peak, but external imbalances have deteriorated modestly. Banks remain well capitalized and liquid although credit unions suffer from persistent weak capital and asset quality. The outlook is subject to downside risks, especially from climate change, volatile tourism receipts, commodity prices, and CBI revenues. Meanwhile, longstanding impediments to private investment and employment weigh on growth and productivity. Policy priorities are to address fiscal and external imbalances while enhancing the basis for sustained and resilient growth.
June 27, 2024
Panama: 2024 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; and Staff Report
Description: The 2024 Article IV Consultation discusses that Panama grew very rapidly in the two decades preceding Coronavirus disease 2019 but was hit very hard by the pandemic. Between 1994 and 2019, gross domestic product (GDP) per capita increased from 33 percent of US GDP per capita to 48 percent. Rapid growth was driven by an unprecedented construction and investment boom that included major construction projects, such as the enlargement of the Panama Canal and the Tocumen airport, and the expansion of the services and logistics sectors that benefited from those projects. The government aims to reduce the fiscal deficit to 2.0 percent of GDP in 2024. As budgeted spending is not consistent with this target, the government intends to meet the target by keeping public investment well below the budget, but this would require an unduly large compression of investment when unemployment is expected to increase and growth to slow down. In order to maintain room for investment, increased revenue mobilization is needed. In order to safeguard financial stability, it is essential that banks remain well capitalized and liquid. Strengthening human capital and governance will help sustain convergence. Continued implementation of the national statistical plan will improve the quality and timeliness of key macroeconomic data.