An Analysis of Money Demand and Inflation in the Islamic Republic of Iran

December 1, 2002

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Mangal Goswami, and Oya Celasun. An Analysis of Money Demand and Inflation in the Islamic Republic of Iran, (USA: International Monetary Fund, 2002) accessed November 21, 2024

Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

This study examines money demand and inflation dynamics in the Islamic Republic of Iran using quarterly data for the period 1990/91-2001/02 and tests whether the disinflation during 2000/01-2001/02 represents a structural break in the data. A long-run money market equilibrium condition is identified and the short-run behavior of the inflation, measured in terms of non-administered component of the consumer price index (CPI) is modeled conditional on the disequilibria in the money market. Estimation results indicate that the stabilization of the exchange rate on account of strong oil revenues during 2000/01-2001/02 buoyed the demand for domestic money and contributed to the decline in inflation. Tests of model stability do not point to a structural shift in the inflation equation during the period of analysis.

Subject: Consumer price indexes, Demand for money, Financial markets, Inflation, Monetary base, Money, Money markets, Prices

Keywords: Consumer price indexes, CPI basket, CPI inflation dynamics, Demand for money, Exchange Rate, Inflation, Inflation dynamics, Iran, Monetary base, Money Demand, Money demand equation, Money market, Money market disequilibrium term, Money markets, Price inflation, Producer price inflation, Rate of inflation, Result, WP

Publication Details

Pages:

21
Volume:

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DOI:

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Issue:

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Series:

Working Paper No. 2002/205
Stock No:

WPIEA2052002
ISBN:

9781451874563
ISSN:

1018-5941

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