Fabian Valencia
Last Updated: April 16, 2023
Fabián Valencia is an Advisor in the Strategy, Policy, and Review Department (SPR) of the International Monetary Fund, overseeing IMF relations with a wide range of countries. Prior to his current position, he served as Deputy Chief in the Macrofinancial Unit of SPR, supporting the IMF’s efforts to strengthen macrofinancial surveillance. He has also worked in the Western Hemisphere and Research Departments of the IMF. He holds a Ph.D. in Economics from The Johns Hopkins University and a M.Sc. in Economics from the Catholic University of Leuven, Belgium. His research interests include financial crises, monetary policy, macroprudential policy, and financial intermediation and the real economy.
Email: FVALENCIA@imf.org
Fluent In: Spanish.
Education:
Ph.D. in Economics, Johns Hopkins University, 2006
M.Sc. in Economics, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, 1999
B.A. in Economics, Universidad Católica de Guayaquil, 1997
Referee Activities:
American Economic Review, Review of Economic Studies, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, IMF Economic Review, Economic Journal, Economic Letters, European Journal of Political Economy, International Economic Review, European Economic Review, Journal of International Money and Finance, Journal of International Economics, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Journal of Financial Intermediation, Journal of Banking and Finance, Journal of Financial Stability, Macroeconomic Dynamics, Economics, Economica, International Journal of Central Banking.
IMF Books and Working Papers:
Handle with Care: Regulatory Easing in Times of COVID-19 , Working Paper No. 2021/049 , February 26, 2021
Effects of Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from Over 6,000 Estimates , Working Paper No. 20/67 , May 22, 2020
Systemic Banking Crises Revisited , Working Paper No. 18/206 , September 14, 2018
Welfare Gains from Market Insurance: The Case of Mexican Oil Price Risk , Working Paper No. 18/35 , March 02, 2018
Monetary Policy Credibility and Exchange Rate Pass-Through , Working Paper No. 16/240 , December 13, 2016
Corporate Investment in Emerging Markets : Financing vs. Real Options Channel , Working Paper No. 15/285 , December 30, 2015
Made in Mexico: Energy Reform and Manufacturing Growth , Working Paper No. 15/45 , February 27, 2015
Monetary Policy in the New Normal , Staff Discussion Notes No. 14/3 , April 04, 2014
Financial Crises : Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses , February 19, 2014
Aggregate Uncertainty and the Supply of Credit , Working Paper No. 13/241 , December 02, 2013
Systemic Banking Crises Database: An Update , Working Paper No. 12/163 , June 01, 2012
Central Bank Independence and Macro-Prudential Regulation , Working Paper No. 12/101 , April 01, 2012
Balance-Sheet Shocks and Recapitalizations , Working Paper No. 12/68 , March 01, 2012
Monetary Policy, Bank Leverage, and Financial Stability , Working Paper No. 11/244 , October 01, 2011
Crisis Management and Resolution: Early Lessons from the Financial Crisis , Staff Discussion Notes No. 11/5 , March 09, 2011
Crisis Management and Resolution: Early Lessons from the Financial Crisis , Staff Discussion Notes No. 11/5 , March 09, 2011
The Real Effects of Financial Sector Interventions During Crises , Working Paper No. 11/45 , March 01, 2011
Bank Capital and Uncertainty , Working Paper No. 10/208 , September 01, 2010
Resolution of Banking Crises: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly , Working Paper No. 10/146 , June 01, 2010
Precautionary Reserves: An Application to Bolivia , Working Paper No. 10/54 , March 01, 2010
Banks' Precautionary Capital and Credit Crunches , Working Paper No. 08/248 , October 01, 2008
The Use of Blanket Guarantees in Banking Crises , Working Paper No. 08/250 , October 01, 2008
Systemic Banking Crises: A New Database , Working Paper No. 08/224 , September 01, 2008
IMF Country Reports
The Bahamas : 2017 Article IV Consultation
The Bahamas : 2018 Article IV Consultation
Selected Issue
Welfare Gains from Hedging Oil-price Risk, 2016 Mexico Selected Issues Paper, Ch. 3, with Chang Ma.
Fiscal Multipliers in Mexico, 2015 Mexico Selected Issues Paper, ch. 1.
A Carbon Tax Proposal for Mexico, 2015 Mexico Selected Issues Paper, ch. 4
Strengthening Mexico's Fiscal Framework, 2015 Mexico Selected Issues Paper, ch. 5.
Other Published Materials
Unconventional Monetary Policies - Recent Experiences and Prospects, with an IMF Staff team
A Banking Union for the Euro Area, 2013, IMF Staff Discussion Note 13/1, with an IMF Staff team
How Costly are the 2007-2009 Systemic Banking Crises?, 2010, with Luc Laeven, in "Financial Sector Taxation. The IMF's Report to the G-20 and Background Material." Edited by Stijn Claessens, Michael Keen, and Ceyla Pazarbasioglu. International Monetary Fund, Washington D.C., September 2010.
Policy Responses to Systemic Banking Crises, 2010, in MacroFinancial Linkages: Trends, Crises, and Policies. Edited by Christopher Crowe, Simon Johnson, Jonathan Ostry, and Jeromin Zettelmeyer. International Monetary Fund, Washington D.C. 2010
A Survey of Financial Linkages, 2008, with Gaston Gelos and Martin Cerisola. In Who's Driving Whom? Analyzing External and Intra-Regional Linkages in the Americas. Edited by Martin Mulheisen, Shaun Roache, and Jeromin Zettelmeyer.
Publications in Journals (Refereed)
Systemic Banking Crises Database II, 2020, IMF Economic Review, Vol. 68, pp. 307-361, with L. Laeven
Bank Capital and Uncertainty, 2016, Journal of Banking and Finance, vol. 69, S1-S9.
Other Published Materials
To Hedge or to Self-insure? The Benefits of Mexico’s Oil Hedging Program, 2018, IMF Diálogo a Fondo
Mexico: Setting curse for a greener future, 2015, IMF Diálogo a Fondo
Assessing Corporate Risk in Mexico, 2015, IMF Diálogo a Fondo, with Julian Chow.
The interaction between monetary and macroprudential policies, 2013, voxeu, with Stijn Claessens
The curse of advanced economies in resolving banking crises, 2012, voxeu, with Luc Laeven.
Fabián Valencia is an Advisor in the Strategy, Policy, and Review Department (SPR) of the International Monetary Fund, overseeing IMF relations with a wide range of countries. Prior to his current position, he served as Deputy Chief in the Macrofinancial Unit of SPR, supporting the IMF’s efforts to strengthen macrofinancial surveillance. He has also worked in the Western Hemisphere and Research Departments of the IMF. He holds a Ph.D. in Economics from The Johns Hopkins University and a M.Sc. in Economics from the Catholic University of Leuven, Belgium. His research interests include financial crises, monetary policy, macroprudential policy, and financial intermediation and the real economy.
Email: FVALENCIA@imf.org
Fluent In: Spanish.
Education:
Ph.D. in Economics, Johns Hopkins University, 2006
M.Sc. in Economics, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, 1999
B.A. in Economics, Universidad Católica de Guayaquil, 1997
Referee Activities:
American Economic Review, Review of Economic Studies, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, IMF Economic Review, Economic Journal, Economic Letters, European Journal of Political Economy, International Economic Review, European Economic Review, Journal of International Money and Finance, Journal of International Economics, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Journal of Financial Intermediation, Journal of Banking and Finance, Journal of Financial Stability, Macroeconomic Dynamics, Economics, Economica, International Journal of Central Banking.
IMF Books and Working Papers:
Handle with Care: Regulatory Easing in Times of COVID-19 , Working Paper No. 2021/049 , February 26, 2021
Effects of Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from Over 6,000 Estimates , Working Paper No. 20/67 , May 22, 2020
Systemic Banking Crises Revisited , Working Paper No. 18/206 , September 14, 2018
Welfare Gains from Market Insurance: The Case of Mexican Oil Price Risk , Working Paper No. 18/35 , March 02, 2018
Monetary Policy Credibility and Exchange Rate Pass-Through , Working Paper No. 16/240 , December 13, 2016
Corporate Investment in Emerging Markets : Financing vs. Real Options Channel , Working Paper No. 15/285 , December 30, 2015
Made in Mexico: Energy Reform and Manufacturing Growth , Working Paper No. 15/45 , February 27, 2015
Monetary Policy in the New Normal , Staff Discussion Notes No. 14/3 , April 04, 2014
Financial Crises : Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses , February 19, 2014
Aggregate Uncertainty and the Supply of Credit , Working Paper No. 13/241 , December 02, 2013
Systemic Banking Crises Database: An Update , Working Paper No. 12/163 , June 01, 2012
Central Bank Independence and Macro-Prudential Regulation , Working Paper No. 12/101 , April 01, 2012
Balance-Sheet Shocks and Recapitalizations , Working Paper No. 12/68 , March 01, 2012
Monetary Policy, Bank Leverage, and Financial Stability , Working Paper No. 11/244 , October 01, 2011
Crisis Management and Resolution: Early Lessons from the Financial Crisis , Staff Discussion Notes No. 11/5 , March 09, 2011
Crisis Management and Resolution: Early Lessons from the Financial Crisis , Staff Discussion Notes No. 11/5 , March 09, 2011
The Real Effects of Financial Sector Interventions During Crises , Working Paper No. 11/45 , March 01, 2011
Bank Capital and Uncertainty , Working Paper No. 10/208 , September 01, 2010
Resolution of Banking Crises: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly , Working Paper No. 10/146 , June 01, 2010
Precautionary Reserves: An Application to Bolivia , Working Paper No. 10/54 , March 01, 2010
Banks' Precautionary Capital and Credit Crunches , Working Paper No. 08/248 , October 01, 2008
The Use of Blanket Guarantees in Banking Crises , Working Paper No. 08/250 , October 01, 2008
Systemic Banking Crises: A New Database , Working Paper No. 08/224 , September 01, 2008
IMF Country Reports
The Bahamas : 2017 Article IV Consultation
The Bahamas : 2018 Article IV Consultation
Selected Issue
Welfare Gains from Hedging Oil-price Risk, 2016 Mexico Selected Issues Paper, Ch. 3, with Chang Ma.
Fiscal Multipliers in Mexico, 2015 Mexico Selected Issues Paper, ch. 1.
A Carbon Tax Proposal for Mexico, 2015 Mexico Selected Issues Paper, ch. 4
Strengthening Mexico's Fiscal Framework, 2015 Mexico Selected Issues Paper, ch. 5.
Other Published Materials
Unconventional Monetary Policies - Recent Experiences and Prospects, with an IMF Staff team
A Banking Union for the Euro Area, 2013, IMF Staff Discussion Note 13/1, with an IMF Staff team
How Costly are the 2007-2009 Systemic Banking Crises?, 2010, with Luc Laeven, in "Financial Sector Taxation. The IMF's Report to the G-20 and Background Material." Edited by Stijn Claessens, Michael Keen, and Ceyla Pazarbasioglu. International Monetary Fund, Washington D.C., September 2010.
Policy Responses to Systemic Banking Crises, 2010, in MacroFinancial Linkages: Trends, Crises, and Policies. Edited by Christopher Crowe, Simon Johnson, Jonathan Ostry, and Jeromin Zettelmeyer. International Monetary Fund, Washington D.C. 2010
A Survey of Financial Linkages, 2008, with Gaston Gelos and Martin Cerisola. In Who's Driving Whom? Analyzing External and Intra-Regional Linkages in the Americas. Edited by Martin Mulheisen, Shaun Roache, and Jeromin Zettelmeyer.
Publications in Journals (Refereed)
Systemic Banking Crises Database II, 2020, IMF Economic Review, Vol. 68, pp. 307-361, with L. Laeven
Bank Capital and Uncertainty, 2016, Journal of Banking and Finance, vol. 69, S1-S9.
Other Published Materials
To Hedge or to Self-insure? The Benefits of Mexico’s Oil Hedging Program, 2018, IMF Diálogo a Fondo
Mexico: Setting curse for a greener future, 2015, IMF Diálogo a Fondo
Assessing Corporate Risk in Mexico, 2015, IMF Diálogo a Fondo, with Julian Chow.
The interaction between monetary and macroprudential policies, 2013, voxeu, with Stijn Claessens
The curse of advanced economies in resolving banking crises, 2012, voxeu, with Luc Laeven.