Pau Rabanal

Last Updated: May 17, 2019

Pau Rabanal

Pau Rabanal is a deputy division chief in the Research Department of the IMF. He joined the IMF in 2002 and has also worked in the Monetary and Capital Markets, Western Hemisphere, Middle East and Central Asia and IMF Institute departments of the IMF. He was an economist in the research department at La Caixa in Barcelona between 2006 and 2008.

Email: PRABANAL@imf.org

Personal WebPage: http://www.paurabanal.net/

Fluent In: Catalan, French, Spanish.

Education:

Ph.D. in Economics, New York University, 2002

M.A. in Economics and Finance, CEMFI, 1997

B.A. in Economics and Business Administration, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 1995


Field of Expertise:

Monetary Policy

Macro-Financial Issues

Economic Modeling

IMF Books and Working Papers:

Credit Cycles, Fiscal Policy, and Global Imbalances , Working Paper No. 2021/043 , February 19, 2021

External Financing Risks: How Important is the Composition of the International Investment Position? , Working Paper No. 2021/020 , January 29, 2021

The External Balance Assessment Methodology: 2018 Update , Working Paper No. 19/65 , March 19, 2019

An Estimated DSGE Model to Analyze Housing Market Policies in Hong Kong SAR , Working Paper No. 18/90 , April 13, 2018

A Toolkit to Assess the Consistency Between Real Sector and Financial Sector Forecasts , Technical Notes and Manuals No. 17/09 , June 05, 2017

Steady as She Goes—Estimating Potential Output During Financial “Booms and Busts” , Working Paper No. 15/233 , November 09, 2015

Financial Factors : Implications for Output Gaps , Working Paper No. 15/153 , July 14, 2015

Monetary and Macroprudential Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model of the Euro Area , Working Paper No. 13/209 , October 14, 2013

Deciding to Enter a Monetary Union : TheRole of Trade and Financial Linkages , Working Paper No. 12/240 , October 02, 2012

Can International Macroeconomic Models Explain Low-Frequency Movements of Real Exchange Rates? , Working Paper No. 12/13 , January 01, 2012

How to Deal with Real Estate Booms : Lessons From Country Experiences , Working Paper No. 11/91 , April 01, 2011

Policies for Macrofinancial Stability: Options to Deal with Real Estate Booms , Staff Discussion Notes No. 11/2 , March 01, 2011

Current Account Rebalancing and Real Exchange Rate Adjustment Between the U.S. and Emerging Asia , Working Paper No. 11/46 , March 01, 2011

The Effects of Housing Prices and Monetary Policy in a Currency Union , Working Paper No. 11/6 , January 01, 2011

Forecasting U.S. Investment , Working Paper No. 10/246 , November 01, 2010

Investment - Specific Technology Shocks and International Business Cycles: An Empirical Assessment , Working Paper No. 10/207 , September 01, 2010

U.S. Consumption after the 2008 Crisis , Staff Position Note No. 2010/01 , January 15, 2010

Macroeconomic Patterns and Monetary Policy in the Run-up to Asset Price Busts , Working Paper No. 09/252 , November 01, 2009

Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Rules in a Model with House Price Booms , Working Paper No. 09/251 , November 01, 2009

Cointegrated TFP Processes and International Business Cycles , Working Paper No. 09/212 , September 01, 2009

The Drivers of Housing Cycles in Spain , Working Paper No. 09/203 , September 01, 2009

Euro-Dollar Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in an Estimated Two-Country Model: What Is Important and What Is Not , Working Paper No. 06/177 , July 01, 2006

Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations: How Well Does the RBC Model Fit Postwar U.S. Data? , Working Paper No. 04/234 , December 01, 2004

Monetary Policy Rules and the U.S. Business Cycle: Evidence and Implications , Working Paper No. 04/164 , September 01, 2004

Prudential Issues in Less Diversified Economies , Working Paper No. 03/198 , October 01, 2003

The Cost Channel of Monetary Policy: Further Evidence for the United States and the Euro Area , Working Paper No. 03/149 , July 01, 2003

Inflation Targeting in the Context of IMF-Supported Adjustment Programs , Working Paper No. 01/31 , March 01, 2001

Other Published Materials

Inflation Targeting in the Context of IMF-Supported Adjustment Programs, with M. Blejer, A. Leone, and G. Schwartz, International Monetary Fund Staff Papers 2002, vol.49 (3), pp. 313–38.

Lessons For Monetary Policy From Asset Price Fluctuations, Chapter 3 of October 2009 World Economic Outlook. With A. Fatas, P. Kannan and A. Scott.

Publications in Journals (Refereed)

Unconventional Monetary Policies in the Euro Area, Japan, and the United Kingdom, 2018, with Giovanni Dell'Ariccia and Damiano Sandri, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 32, No. 4, pp.147-172.

Can International Macroeconomic Models Explain Low-Frequency Movements of Real Exchange Rates?, 2015, with Juan Francisco Rubio-Ramírez, Journal of International Economics,Vol. 96, No.1, pp. 199-211.

Deciding to Enter a Monetary Union: The Role of Trade and Financial Linkages, 2014, with R. Lama, European Economic Review, Vol. 72, Issue C, pp. 138-165.

Monetary and Macroprudential Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model of the Euro Area, 2014, with Dominic Quint, International Journal of Central Banking, Vol. 10, No. 1, pp. 169-236.

How to Deal with Real Estate Booms: Lessons from Country Experiences, 2013, with Chris Crowe, Giovanni Dell’Ariccia, and Deniz Igan, Journal of Financial Stability, Vol. 9, Issue 3, pp. 300-319.

Nontradable Goods and the Real Exchange Rate, 2013, with Vicente Tuesta, Open Economies Review, Vol. 24, Issue 3, pp. 495-535.

Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Rules in a Model with House Price Booms, 2012, with Prakash Kannan and Alasdair Scott. B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, Contributions, Vol. 12, Issue 1, Article 16.

Recurring Patterns Around House Price Busts, 2011, with P. Kannan and A. Scott, Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 18, No. 2, pp. 107-113.

Cointegrated TFP Processes and International Business Cycles, 2011, with J. F. Rubio-Ramírez and V. Tuesta, Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 58, March, pp.156-171

Investment-Specific Technology Shocks and International Business Cycles: An Empirical Assessment, 2011, with F. Mandelman, J. F. Rubio-Ramírez and D. Vilán, Review of Economic Dynamics, Vol. 14, No. 1, pp. 136-155.

The Effects of Housing Prices and Monetary Policy in a Currency Union, 2011, with Oriol Aspachs-Bracons, International Journal of Central Banking, Vol. 7, No. 1, pp. 225-274.

Euro-Dollar Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in an Estimated Two-Country Model: An Assessment, 2010, with V. Tuesta, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 34, April, pp. 780-797.

The Drivers of Housing Cycles in Spain, 2010, with O. Aspachs-Bracons, SERIES: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Vol. 1-2, March, pp. 101-130

Inflation Differentials Between Spain and the EMU: A DSGE Perspective, 2009, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Vol. 41, No. 6, pp. 1141-1166.

Comparing New Keynesian Models in the Euro Area: A Bayesian Approach, 2008, with J. F. Rubio-Ramírez, Spanish Economic Review, Vol. 10, March, pp. 23-40.

Does Inflation Increase After a Monetary Policy Tightening? Answers Based on an Estimated DSGE Model, 2007, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 31, March, pp. 906-937.

Comparing New Keynesian Models of the Business Cycle: A Bayesian Approach, 2005, with J. F. Rubio-Ramírez, Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 52, September, pp. 1151-1166.

Economies of Scale, Trade Barriers and Foreign Direct Investment in Spain, 2001, Investigaciones Económicas, vol. XXV (1), pp. 31–61.

Other Published Materials

Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations: How Well does the RBC Model Fit Post-War U.S. Data?, with J. Galí, NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005, Vol. 19, pp. 225-288.

Inflation Persistence: How Much Can We Explain?, 2003, with J. F. Rubio-Ramírez, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Economic Review, vol.88(2), pp. 43-55.

Pau Rabanal

Pau Rabanal is a deputy division chief in the Research Department of the IMF. He joined the IMF in 2002 and has also worked in the Monetary and Capital Markets, Western Hemisphere, Middle East and Central Asia and IMF Institute departments of the IMF. He was an economist in the research department at La Caixa in Barcelona between 2006 and 2008.

Email: PRABANAL@imf.org

Personal WebPage: http://www.paurabanal.net/

Fluent In: Catalan, French, Spanish.

Education:

Ph.D. in Economics, New York University, 2002

M.A. in Economics and Finance, CEMFI, 1997

B.A. in Economics and Business Administration, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 1995


Field of Expertise:

Monetary Policy

Macro-Financial Issues

Economic Modeling

IMF Books and Working Papers:

Credit Cycles, Fiscal Policy, and Global Imbalances , Working Paper No. 2021/043 , February 19, 2021

External Financing Risks: How Important is the Composition of the International Investment Position? , Working Paper No. 2021/020 , January 29, 2021

The External Balance Assessment Methodology: 2018 Update , Working Paper No. 19/65 , March 19, 2019

An Estimated DSGE Model to Analyze Housing Market Policies in Hong Kong SAR , Working Paper No. 18/90 , April 13, 2018

A Toolkit to Assess the Consistency Between Real Sector and Financial Sector Forecasts , Technical Notes and Manuals No. 17/09 , June 05, 2017

Steady as She Goes—Estimating Potential Output During Financial “Booms and Busts” , Working Paper No. 15/233 , November 09, 2015

Financial Factors : Implications for Output Gaps , Working Paper No. 15/153 , July 14, 2015

Monetary and Macroprudential Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model of the Euro Area , Working Paper No. 13/209 , October 14, 2013

Deciding to Enter a Monetary Union : TheRole of Trade and Financial Linkages , Working Paper No. 12/240 , October 02, 2012

Can International Macroeconomic Models Explain Low-Frequency Movements of Real Exchange Rates? , Working Paper No. 12/13 , January 01, 2012

How to Deal with Real Estate Booms : Lessons From Country Experiences , Working Paper No. 11/91 , April 01, 2011

Policies for Macrofinancial Stability: Options to Deal with Real Estate Booms , Staff Discussion Notes No. 11/2 , March 01, 2011

Current Account Rebalancing and Real Exchange Rate Adjustment Between the U.S. and Emerging Asia , Working Paper No. 11/46 , March 01, 2011

The Effects of Housing Prices and Monetary Policy in a Currency Union , Working Paper No. 11/6 , January 01, 2011

Forecasting U.S. Investment , Working Paper No. 10/246 , November 01, 2010

Investment - Specific Technology Shocks and International Business Cycles: An Empirical Assessment , Working Paper No. 10/207 , September 01, 2010

U.S. Consumption after the 2008 Crisis , Staff Position Note No. 2010/01 , January 15, 2010

Macroeconomic Patterns and Monetary Policy in the Run-up to Asset Price Busts , Working Paper No. 09/252 , November 01, 2009

Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Rules in a Model with House Price Booms , Working Paper No. 09/251 , November 01, 2009

Cointegrated TFP Processes and International Business Cycles , Working Paper No. 09/212 , September 01, 2009

The Drivers of Housing Cycles in Spain , Working Paper No. 09/203 , September 01, 2009

Euro-Dollar Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in an Estimated Two-Country Model: What Is Important and What Is Not , Working Paper No. 06/177 , July 01, 2006

Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations: How Well Does the RBC Model Fit Postwar U.S. Data? , Working Paper No. 04/234 , December 01, 2004

Monetary Policy Rules and the U.S. Business Cycle: Evidence and Implications , Working Paper No. 04/164 , September 01, 2004

Prudential Issues in Less Diversified Economies , Working Paper No. 03/198 , October 01, 2003

The Cost Channel of Monetary Policy: Further Evidence for the United States and the Euro Area , Working Paper No. 03/149 , July 01, 2003

Inflation Targeting in the Context of IMF-Supported Adjustment Programs , Working Paper No. 01/31 , March 01, 2001

Other Published Materials

Inflation Targeting in the Context of IMF-Supported Adjustment Programs, with M. Blejer, A. Leone, and G. Schwartz, International Monetary Fund Staff Papers 2002, vol.49 (3), pp. 313–38.

Lessons For Monetary Policy From Asset Price Fluctuations, Chapter 3 of October 2009 World Economic Outlook. With A. Fatas, P. Kannan and A. Scott.

Publications in Journals (Refereed)

Unconventional Monetary Policies in the Euro Area, Japan, and the United Kingdom, 2018, with Giovanni Dell'Ariccia and Damiano Sandri, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 32, No. 4, pp.147-172.

Can International Macroeconomic Models Explain Low-Frequency Movements of Real Exchange Rates?, 2015, with Juan Francisco Rubio-Ramírez, Journal of International Economics,Vol. 96, No.1, pp. 199-211.

Deciding to Enter a Monetary Union: The Role of Trade and Financial Linkages, 2014, with R. Lama, European Economic Review, Vol. 72, Issue C, pp. 138-165.

Monetary and Macroprudential Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model of the Euro Area, 2014, with Dominic Quint, International Journal of Central Banking, Vol. 10, No. 1, pp. 169-236.

How to Deal with Real Estate Booms: Lessons from Country Experiences, 2013, with Chris Crowe, Giovanni Dell’Ariccia, and Deniz Igan, Journal of Financial Stability, Vol. 9, Issue 3, pp. 300-319.

Nontradable Goods and the Real Exchange Rate, 2013, with Vicente Tuesta, Open Economies Review, Vol. 24, Issue 3, pp. 495-535.

Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Rules in a Model with House Price Booms, 2012, with Prakash Kannan and Alasdair Scott. B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, Contributions, Vol. 12, Issue 1, Article 16.

Recurring Patterns Around House Price Busts, 2011, with P. Kannan and A. Scott, Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 18, No. 2, pp. 107-113.

Cointegrated TFP Processes and International Business Cycles, 2011, with J. F. Rubio-Ramírez and V. Tuesta, Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 58, March, pp.156-171

Investment-Specific Technology Shocks and International Business Cycles: An Empirical Assessment, 2011, with F. Mandelman, J. F. Rubio-Ramírez and D. Vilán, Review of Economic Dynamics, Vol. 14, No. 1, pp. 136-155.

The Effects of Housing Prices and Monetary Policy in a Currency Union, 2011, with Oriol Aspachs-Bracons, International Journal of Central Banking, Vol. 7, No. 1, pp. 225-274.

Euro-Dollar Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in an Estimated Two-Country Model: An Assessment, 2010, with V. Tuesta, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 34, April, pp. 780-797.

The Drivers of Housing Cycles in Spain, 2010, with O. Aspachs-Bracons, SERIES: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Vol. 1-2, March, pp. 101-130

Inflation Differentials Between Spain and the EMU: A DSGE Perspective, 2009, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Vol. 41, No. 6, pp. 1141-1166.

Comparing New Keynesian Models in the Euro Area: A Bayesian Approach, 2008, with J. F. Rubio-Ramírez, Spanish Economic Review, Vol. 10, March, pp. 23-40.

Does Inflation Increase After a Monetary Policy Tightening? Answers Based on an Estimated DSGE Model, 2007, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 31, March, pp. 906-937.

Comparing New Keynesian Models of the Business Cycle: A Bayesian Approach, 2005, with J. F. Rubio-Ramírez, Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 52, September, pp. 1151-1166.

Economies of Scale, Trade Barriers and Foreign Direct Investment in Spain, 2001, Investigaciones Económicas, vol. XXV (1), pp. 31–61.

Other Published Materials

Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations: How Well does the RBC Model Fit Post-War U.S. Data?, with J. Galí, NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005, Vol. 19, pp. 225-288.

Inflation Persistence: How Much Can We Explain?, 2003, with J. F. Rubio-Ramírez, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Economic Review, vol.88(2), pp. 43-55.