IMF RESEARCHER

Joannes Mongardini is a deputy division chief in the Research Department. Previously, he worked in the African, European, Middle East and Central Asia, and the Strategy and Policy Review Departments. While on leave from the IMF during 2013-15, he was chief economist for Qatar National Bank in Doha, Qatar. His research interests include macro-prudential, monetary and exchange rate policy, regional integration, and international trade.

Email: JMONGARDINI@imf.org

Fluent In: French, German, Italian, Portuguese, Spanish.

Education:

University of California, Los Angeles, Ph.D. in Economics (1996)

University of California, Los Angeles, M.A. in Economics (1992)

University of York, United Kingdom, B.A. in Economics and Politics (1991)

Fondazione Luigi Einaudi, Turin, Italy, Fellowship (1991)

Field of Expertise:

Monetary Policy

Macro-Financial Issues

International Trade

International Finance

Open Economy Macroeconomics

International Macroeconomics

IMF Books and Working Papers:

Another Piece of the Puzzle: Adding Swift Data on Documentary Collections to the Short-Term Forecast of World Trade , Working Paper No. 2021/293 , December 17, 2021

Improving the Short-term Forecast of World Trade During the Covid-19 Pandemic Using Swift Data on Letters of Credit , Working Paper No. 2020/247 , November 13, 2020

Global Smartphones Sales May Have Peaked , Working Paper No. 20/70 , May 29, 2020

Labor Market Slack and the Output Gap: The Case of Korea , Working Paper No. 19/167 , August 02, 2019

A New Smartphone for Every Fifth Person on Earth: Quantifying the New Tech Cycle , Working Paper No. 18/22 , January 24, 2018

Reflating Japan : Time to Get Unconventional? , Working Paper No. 16/157 , August 02, 2016

Mitigating the Deadly Embrace in Financial Cycles : Countercyclical Buffers and Loan-to-Value Limits , Working Paper No. 16/87 , April 08, 2016

Building a Common Future in Southern Africa , April 05, 2013

The Design of Fiscal Adjustment Strategies in Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, and Swaziland , Working Paper No. 11/266 , November 01, 2011

In the Wake of the Global Economic Crisis: Adjusting to Lower Revenue of the Southern African Customs Union in Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, and Swaziland , African Departmental Paper No. 11/01 , January 01, 2011

The Macroeconomics of Scaling Up Aid: The Gleneagles Initiative for Benin , Working Paper No. 09/115 , May 01, 2009

Grants, Remittances, and the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in Sub-Saharan African Countries , Working Paper No. 09/75 , April 01, 2009

In Search of Equilibrium: Estimating Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates in Sub-Saharan African Countries , Working Paper No. 07/90 , April 01, 2007

Estimating Indexes of Coincident and Leading Indicators: An Application to Jordan , Working Paper No. 03/170 , August 01, 2003

The Baltic Countries : Medium-Term Fiscal Issues Related to EU and NATO Accession , Occasional Paper No. 213 , April 12, 2002

Rachet Effects in Currency Substitution - An Application to the Kyrgyz Republic , Working Paper No. 99/102 , July 01, 1999

Estimating Egypt's Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate , Working Paper No. 98/5 , January 01, 1998

IMF Occasional Papers, Pamphlets, and Special Issues Papers

Macroeconomic Policy When Policy Space is Constrained: A Comprehensive, Consistent, and Coordinated Approach to Economic Policy (with V. Gaspar, M. Obstfeld, R. Sahay and others) (IMF Staff Discussion Note, October 2016)

Egypt: Beyond Stabilization, Toward a Dynamic Market Economy (1998), IMF Occasional Paper No. 163 (with others)

iMFdirect Blog Posts

Smartphones Drive New Global Tech Cycle, but is Demand Peaking? (with B. Carton and Y. Li, February 2018)

Selected Issue

Upgrading Brazil's Inflation-Targeting Framework (with S. Domit and D. Laxton), IMF Selected Issues Paper No. 16/349, pp. 115-40 (2016)

Other Published Materials

Smartphones and Global Trade (with B. Carton and Y. Li), World Economic Outlook, Chapter 1, Box 1.1 (April 2018)

Successful Transition: Estonia Establishes Itself as a Market Economy (2001), IMF Staff Survey Article, September 17, 2001

Publications in Journals (Refereed)

Ratchet Effects in Currency Substitution, in IMF Staff Papers, Fall 2000 (with J. Mueller)

Publications in Journals (Referred)

Theorists of Economic Growth from David Hume to the Present, Book Review, in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 19, pp. 869-72 (1995)

Publications in Books and Conference Volumes

Mitigating the Deadly Embrace in Financial Cycles: Countercyclical Buffers and Loan-to-Value Limits, pp. 90-111 in P. Pauly, Global Economic Modeling, Singapore, 2018

Stabilization and Structural Transformation of the Jordanian Economy, in Saif, I., The Jordanian Economy in a Changing Environment, Center for Strategic Studies, University of Amman (with A. Mansur, 2004)

Joannes Mongardini is a deputy division chief in the Research Department. Previously, he worked in the African, European, Middle East and Central Asia, and the Strategy and Policy Review Departments. While on leave from the IMF during 2013-15, he was chief economist for Qatar National Bank in Doha, Qatar. His research interests include macro-prudential, monetary and exchange rate policy, regional integration, and international trade.

Email: JMONGARDINI@imf.org

Fluent In: French, German, Italian, Portuguese, Spanish.

Education:

University of California, Los Angeles, Ph.D. in Economics (1996)

University of California, Los Angeles, M.A. in Economics (1992)

University of York, United Kingdom, B.A. in Economics and Politics (1991)

Fondazione Luigi Einaudi, Turin, Italy, Fellowship (1991)

Field of Expertise:

Monetary Policy

Macro-Financial Issues

International Trade

International Finance

Open Economy Macroeconomics

International Macroeconomics

IMF Books and Working Papers:

Another Piece of the Puzzle: Adding Swift Data on Documentary Collections to the Short-Term Forecast of World Trade , Working Paper No. 2021/293 , December 17, 2021

Improving the Short-term Forecast of World Trade During the Covid-19 Pandemic Using Swift Data on Letters of Credit , Working Paper No. 2020/247 , November 13, 2020

Global Smartphones Sales May Have Peaked , Working Paper No. 20/70 , May 29, 2020

Labor Market Slack and the Output Gap: The Case of Korea , Working Paper No. 19/167 , August 02, 2019

A New Smartphone for Every Fifth Person on Earth: Quantifying the New Tech Cycle , Working Paper No. 18/22 , January 24, 2018

Reflating Japan : Time to Get Unconventional? , Working Paper No. 16/157 , August 02, 2016

Mitigating the Deadly Embrace in Financial Cycles : Countercyclical Buffers and Loan-to-Value Limits , Working Paper No. 16/87 , April 08, 2016

Building a Common Future in Southern Africa , April 05, 2013

The Design of Fiscal Adjustment Strategies in Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, and Swaziland , Working Paper No. 11/266 , November 01, 2011

In the Wake of the Global Economic Crisis: Adjusting to Lower Revenue of the Southern African Customs Union in Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, and Swaziland , African Departmental Paper No. 11/01 , January 01, 2011

The Macroeconomics of Scaling Up Aid: The Gleneagles Initiative for Benin , Working Paper No. 09/115 , May 01, 2009

Grants, Remittances, and the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in Sub-Saharan African Countries , Working Paper No. 09/75 , April 01, 2009

In Search of Equilibrium: Estimating Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates in Sub-Saharan African Countries , Working Paper No. 07/90 , April 01, 2007

Estimating Indexes of Coincident and Leading Indicators: An Application to Jordan , Working Paper No. 03/170 , August 01, 2003

The Baltic Countries : Medium-Term Fiscal Issues Related to EU and NATO Accession , Occasional Paper No. 213 , April 12, 2002

Rachet Effects in Currency Substitution - An Application to the Kyrgyz Republic , Working Paper No. 99/102 , July 01, 1999

Estimating Egypt's Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate , Working Paper No. 98/5 , January 01, 1998

IMF Occasional Papers, Pamphlets, and Special Issues Papers

Macroeconomic Policy When Policy Space is Constrained: A Comprehensive, Consistent, and Coordinated Approach to Economic Policy (with V. Gaspar, M. Obstfeld, R. Sahay and others) (IMF Staff Discussion Note, October 2016)

Egypt: Beyond Stabilization, Toward a Dynamic Market Economy (1998), IMF Occasional Paper No. 163 (with others)

iMFdirect Blog Posts

Smartphones Drive New Global Tech Cycle, but is Demand Peaking? (with B. Carton and Y. Li, February 2018)

Selected Issue

Upgrading Brazil's Inflation-Targeting Framework (with S. Domit and D. Laxton), IMF Selected Issues Paper No. 16/349, pp. 115-40 (2016)

Other Published Materials

Smartphones and Global Trade (with B. Carton and Y. Li), World Economic Outlook, Chapter 1, Box 1.1 (April 2018)

Successful Transition: Estonia Establishes Itself as a Market Economy (2001), IMF Staff Survey Article, September 17, 2001

Publications in Journals (Refereed)

Ratchet Effects in Currency Substitution, in IMF Staff Papers, Fall 2000 (with J. Mueller)

Publications in Journals (Referred)

Theorists of Economic Growth from David Hume to the Present, Book Review, in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 19, pp. 869-72 (1995)

Publications in Books and Conference Volumes

Mitigating the Deadly Embrace in Financial Cycles: Countercyclical Buffers and Loan-to-Value Limits, pp. 90-111 in P. Pauly, Global Economic Modeling, Singapore, 2018

Stabilization and Structural Transformation of the Jordanian Economy, in Saif, I., The Jordanian Economy in a Changing Environment, Center for Strategic Studies, University of Amman (with A. Mansur, 2004)