Stephan Danninger

Last Updated: January 01, 2024

Stephan Danninger is Assistant Director in the IMF’s European Department. He joined the IMF in 2000 and currently heads the regional unit covering the economic outlook for Europe. Previously, he oversaw the Surveillance Policy Division in SPR, Director of the IMF Singapore Regional Institute, led the North America and Japan divisions, and was a researcher in the IMF’s World Economic Studies Division which is responsible for the publication of the World Economic Outlook. His research covers a variety of topics, including productivity growth, labor market issues, determinants of countries’ export competitiveness, cross-country spillovers of financial stress, and growth enhancing structural reforms. He holds a PhD from Columbia University, New York.

Email: SDANNINGER@imf.org

Fluent In: German.

Education:

2000 PhD, Economics, Columbia University, New York, NY. Specialization: macroeconomics and international trade. Advisors: Alessandra Casella, Ronald Findlay, John McLaren, Jacob Mincer.

1995 Institute For Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria, master level course work in economics.

1994 University of Graz, Austria, BA in economics.


Previous Experience:

2000-Present, The International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC, USA

Current position: Senior Economist, World Economic Studies Division, Research Department

IMF Books and Working Papers:

Understanding U.S. Wage Dynamics , Working Paper No. 18/138 , June 15, 2018

What Explains the Decline of the U.S. Labor Share of Income? An Analysis of State and Industry Level Data , Working Paper No. 17/167 , July 24, 2017

Can Abenomics Succeed? : Overcoming the Legacy of Japan's Lost Decades , March 04, 2015

The Transmission of Financial Stress from Advanced to Emerging Economies , Working Paper No. 09/133 , June 01, 2009

Inflation Smoothing and the Modest Effect of VAT in Germany , Working Paper No. 08/175 , July 01, 2008

What Explains Germany's Rebounding Export Market Share? , Working Paper No. 07/24 , February 01, 2007

Tax Reform and Debt Sustainability in Germany: An Assessment Using the Global Fiscal Model , Working Paper No. 07/46 , February 01, 2007

Labor and Product Market Deregulation: Partial, Sequential, or Simultaneous Reform? , Working Paper No. 05/227 , December 01, 2005

How Do Canadian Budget Forecasts Compare with Those of Other Industrial Countries? , Working Paper No. 05/66 , March 01, 2005

Revenue Forecasting--How is it done? Results from a Survey of Low-Income Countries , Working Paper No. 05/24 , February 01, 2005

Revenue Forecasts as Performance Targets , Working Paper No. 05/14 , January 01, 2005

The Political Economy of Revenue-Forecasting Experience from Low-Income Countries , Working Paper No. 05/2 , January 01, 2005

Managing Oil Wealth: The Case of Azerbaijan , April 21, 2004

A New Rule: "The Swiss Debt Brake" , Working Paper No. 02/18 , February 01, 2002

Redistribution Through Public Employment - The Case of Italy , Working Paper No. 99/177 , December 01, 1999

Other Published Materials

How Linkages Fuel the Fire: The Transmission of Financial Stress from Advanced to Emerging Economies, April 2009 chapter 4, lead author with R. Balakrishnan, S. Elekdag, and I. Tytell.

Divergence of Current Account Balances Across Emerging Economies, Fall 2008 WEO chapter 6, with F. Jaumotte.

Stephan Danninger is Assistant Director in the IMF’s European Department. He joined the IMF in 2000 and currently heads the regional unit covering the economic outlook for Europe. Previously, he oversaw the Surveillance Policy Division in SPR, Director of the IMF Singapore Regional Institute, led the North America and Japan divisions, and was a researcher in the IMF’s World Economic Studies Division which is responsible for the publication of the World Economic Outlook. His research covers a variety of topics, including productivity growth, labor market issues, determinants of countries’ export competitiveness, cross-country spillovers of financial stress, and growth enhancing structural reforms. He holds a PhD from Columbia University, New York.

Email: SDANNINGER@imf.org

Fluent In: German.

Education:

2000 PhD, Economics, Columbia University, New York, NY. Specialization: macroeconomics and international trade. Advisors: Alessandra Casella, Ronald Findlay, John McLaren, Jacob Mincer.

1995 Institute For Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria, master level course work in economics.

1994 University of Graz, Austria, BA in economics.


Previous Experience:

2000-Present, The International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC, USA

Current position: Senior Economist, World Economic Studies Division, Research Department

IMF Books and Working Papers:

Understanding U.S. Wage Dynamics , Working Paper No. 18/138 , June 15, 2018

What Explains the Decline of the U.S. Labor Share of Income? An Analysis of State and Industry Level Data , Working Paper No. 17/167 , July 24, 2017

Can Abenomics Succeed? : Overcoming the Legacy of Japan's Lost Decades , March 04, 2015

The Transmission of Financial Stress from Advanced to Emerging Economies , Working Paper No. 09/133 , June 01, 2009

Inflation Smoothing and the Modest Effect of VAT in Germany , Working Paper No. 08/175 , July 01, 2008

What Explains Germany's Rebounding Export Market Share? , Working Paper No. 07/24 , February 01, 2007

Tax Reform and Debt Sustainability in Germany: An Assessment Using the Global Fiscal Model , Working Paper No. 07/46 , February 01, 2007

Labor and Product Market Deregulation: Partial, Sequential, or Simultaneous Reform? , Working Paper No. 05/227 , December 01, 2005

How Do Canadian Budget Forecasts Compare with Those of Other Industrial Countries? , Working Paper No. 05/66 , March 01, 2005

Revenue Forecasting--How is it done? Results from a Survey of Low-Income Countries , Working Paper No. 05/24 , February 01, 2005

Revenue Forecasts as Performance Targets , Working Paper No. 05/14 , January 01, 2005

The Political Economy of Revenue-Forecasting Experience from Low-Income Countries , Working Paper No. 05/2 , January 01, 2005

Managing Oil Wealth: The Case of Azerbaijan , April 21, 2004

A New Rule: "The Swiss Debt Brake" , Working Paper No. 02/18 , February 01, 2002

Redistribution Through Public Employment - The Case of Italy , Working Paper No. 99/177 , December 01, 1999

Other Published Materials

How Linkages Fuel the Fire: The Transmission of Financial Stress from Advanced to Emerging Economies, April 2009 chapter 4, lead author with R. Balakrishnan, S. Elekdag, and I. Tytell.

Divergence of Current Account Balances Across Emerging Economies, Fall 2008 WEO chapter 6, with F. Jaumotte.

Other Published Materials

Danninger Stephan and Fred Joutz (2008) What Explains Germany's Rebounding Export Market Share?, Cesifo Economic Studies, Volume 54, Number 4, December 2008.

Danninger Stephan, Munasinghe Lalith, and Brendan O’Flaherty (2001) Globalization and the Rate of Technological Progress: What Track and Field Records Show, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 109/5, Chicago.

Azfar, Omar and Stephan Danninger, (2001) Profit-sharing, Employment Stability, and Wage Growth, Industrial and Labor Relations Review, 54, (3), 619-30.

Danninger Stephan and Jacob Mincer (2000) Technology, Unemployment and Inflation, Research in Labor Economics, Vol. 19, 1-28.