The Effects of Climate and Conflict Shocks on Household Welfare: Niger

February 27, 2023

Preview Citation

Format: Chicago

Yoro Diallo. The Effects of Climate and Conflict Shocks on Household Welfare: Niger, (USA: International Monetary Fund, 2023) accessed November 21, 2024

Summary

As livelihoods in Niger still depend to a large extent on agricultural production, shocks related to climate change and insecurity present a threat for the country’s development path and are the main sources of vulnerability for the population in rural areas. This paper uses data from the latest household living standard survey to quantify the effects and interactions of these shocks on household welfare before proposing policy recommendations to enhance the resilience of households and the economy more generally. Our results show that when rainfall decreases by one standard deviation, per capita income falls by 11 percent. Furthermore, the impact of shocks on households depends on their adaptive capacity, which includes sufficient agricultural capital and income diversification. Without concrete adaptation measures, vulnerability to climate change is expected to increase in Niger, and human capital accumulation in poor household is also expected to deteriorate and could lead to a poverty trap.

Subject: International organization, Monetary policy

Keywords: Climate Shocks, Conflicts, Microeconometrics, Niger, Welfare

Publication Details

Pages:

21
Volume:

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DOI:

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Issue:

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Series:

Selected Issues Paper No. 2023/008
Stock No:

SIPEA2023008
ISBN:

9798400236068
ISSN:

2958-7875

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