Predicting Macroeconomic and Macrofinancial Stress in Low-Income Countries
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Summary:
In recent years, Fund staff has prepared cross-country analyses of macroeconomic vulnerabilities in low-income countries, focusing on the risk of sharp declines in economic growth and of debt distress. We discuss routes to broadening this focus by adding several macroeconomic and macrofinancial vulnerability concepts. The associated early warning systems draw on advances in predictive modeling.
Series:
Working Paper No. 2020/289
Subject:
Banking crises Commodity prices Early warning systems Economic sectors Financial crises Inflation Prices
Frequency:
regular
English
Publication Date:
December 18, 2020
ISBN/ISSN:
9781513564609/1018-5941
Stock No:
WPIEA2020289
Pages:
63
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