IMF Working Papers

In the Eye of the Storm Firms and Capital Destruction in India

Author/Editor:

Martino Pelli ; Jeanne Tschopp ; Natalia Bezmaternykh ; Kodjovi M. Eklou

Publication Date:

September 25, 2020

Electronic Access:

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Summary:

This paper examines the response of firms to capital destruction, using a new measure of firm exposure to tropical storms as a negative exogenous shock on firms’ capital stock. Drawing on a panel of Indian manufacturing firms between 1995 and 2006, we establish that, depending on their strength, storms destroy up to 75.3% of the fixed assets of the median firm (in terms of its productivity and industry performance). We quantify the response of firm sales within and across industries and find effects akin to Schumpeterian creative destruction, where surviving firms build back better. Within an industry, the sales of less productive firms decrease disproportionately more, while across industries capital destruction leads to a shift in sales towards more performing industries. This build-back better effect is driven by firms active in multiple industries and, to a large extent, by shifts in the firm-level production mix within a firm’s active set of industries. Finally, while there is no evidence that firms adjust by investing in new industry lines, firms tend to abandon production in industries that exhibit lower comparative advantage.

Series:

Working Paper No. 2020/203

Subject:

Capital productivity Comparative advantage Environment International trade Natural disasters Production Productivity Total factor productivity

Frequency:

regular