Inflation and Monetary Pass-Through in Guinea

Author/Editor:

Rodolphe Blavy

Publication Date:

December 1, 2004

Electronic Access:

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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary:

The paper analyzes the dynamics of inflation in Guinea during 1992-2003 applying cointegration and error-correction modeling to a bivariate model that includes consumer price and monetary variables. The empirical results, based on quarterly data, confirm the existence of a long-run relationship between money supply and consumer prices. This paper argues further that the pass-through has increased in recent years. Short-term dynamics are shown to accentuate the long-run impact. Impulse response analysis shows that a shock in the money stock will have an increasing impact over two years and will then stabilize at a higher level.

Series:

Working Paper No. 2004/223

Subject:

English

Publication Date:

December 1, 2004

ISBN/ISSN:

9781451875324/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA2232004

Pages:

20

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