Output Decline in Transition: The Case of Kazakhstan

Publication Date:

April 1, 1998

Electronic Access:

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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary:

This paper presents a detailed analysis of the output decline in Kazakhstan in the early years of the transition. The decline is documented at the aggregate and sectoral levels, and the quality of the available data is reviewed. A growth accounting framework quantifies the productivity slowdown in Kazakhstan and illustrates how excessive capital accumulation under central planning has contributed to the output decline. In addition, strong evidence is found that disorganization and inherited sectoral misallocation have played a significant role. Credit contractions and reductions in aggregate demand may have had an effect, but clear patterns of causality cannot be established.

Series:

Working Paper No. 1998/045

Subject:

Agricultural sector Commodities Economic sectors Industrial sector Labor Production Total factor productivity

English

Publication Date:

April 1, 1998

ISBN/ISSN:

9781451974393/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA0451998

Pages:

78

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