EMU, Adjustment, and Exchange Rate Variability
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Summary:
This paper uses a three-country, three-good, factor-specific model of trade with wage rigidities to investigate how European Monetary Union (EMU) is likely to affect exchange rate variability. Focusing on international macroeconomic adjustment under both exogenous and optimizing monetary policies, it shows that the relative variability (against external currencies) of the euro (under EMU) and a basket of present currencies (pre-EMU) depends on relative sizes and specialization patterns of EMU countries and the relative importance of different shocks. EMU is likely to decrease (increase) exchange rate variability for shocks to industries in which large (small) EMU countries are specialized.
Series:
Working Paper No. 1998/050
Subject:
Economic integration Employment Exchange rate adjustments Exchange rate flexibility Exchange rates Foreign exchange International trade Monetary unions Trade balance
English
Publication Date:
January 1, 1998
ISBN/ISSN:
9781451846942/1018-5941
Stock No:
WPIEA0501998
Pages:
27
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