Demand Projections for the Fund's Concessional Resources

Publication Date:

March 16, 2011

Electronic Access:

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Summary:

Projections of demand for concessional loans under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust (PRGT) are subject to a high degree of uncertainty. The Fund’s financial support to low-income countries (LICs) is both cyclical and lumpy. Moreover, there are important structural changes underway that are likely to affect the frequency, nature, and size of Fund concessional lending. As a result, simple extrapolations from historical lending volumes are misleading. This paper reviews factors underlying historical lending trends and develops a methodology that can narrow down the range of possible longer-term demand scenarios.

Series:

Policy Papers

Subject:

English

Publication Date:

March 16, 2011

Format:

Paper

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