November 2001 IMFC Statements
IMFC Ottawa Meeting
Angola and the IMF
Burundi and the IMF
Botswana and the IMF
The State of Eritrea and the IMF
The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia and the IMF
The Gambia and the IMF
Kenya and the IMF
Liberia and the IMF
Lesotho and the IMF
Republic of Mozambique and the IMF
Malawi and the IMF
Namibia and the IMF
Nigeria and the IMF
Sudan and the IMF
Sierra Leone and the IMF
Kingdom of Swaziland and the IMF
Tanzania and the IMF
Uganda and the IMF
South Africa and the IMF
Zambia and the IMF
Zimbabwe and the IMF
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Statement by Ms. Linah K. Mohohlo
Governor of the Bank of Botswana
to the International Monetary and Financial Committee
Ottawa, November 17, 2001
Representing Africa Group I Constituency comprising the following countries:
Angola, Botswana, Burundi, The Gambia, Kenya, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Lesotho,
Liberia, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, Nigeria, Sierra Leone, South Africa,
Sudan, Swaziland, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, Zimbabwe
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INTRODUCTION
- Mr. Chairman, I share the concern that we are facing unprecedented
circumstances in the global economy and that the situation requires
immediate attention from global economic policy makers. I therefore
commend the organizers of this meeting including you Chair and the Fund's
Executive Board and management and I particularly thank the Canadian
authorities for hosting us. But before commenting in more detail on
the situation we face in Africa, I would like first to commend the Canadian
Prime Minister on his announcement that he will visit Africa before
assuming the G-8 Chair. I find this particularly encouraging given the
concern we have in Africa that we are being left on the margins of the
ongoing globalization process and our voice is not being heard as much
as it should in many of the important international forums, including
the Fund. We therefore welcome and look forward to Mr. Chretien's visit.
STRENGTHENING THE GLOBAL ECONOMY
The outlook, risks and vulnerabilities
- The events of September 11 have further clouded the outlook for the
global economy, which was undergoing a sharp slowdown even before then.
These events, and the ongoing increase in unemployment and poor corporate
results are having a knock-on effect on business and consumer confidence
in the US. In the euro area, growth is faltering at a fast pace and
more job cuts are in the pipeline, notwithstanding the progress made
in implementing structural reforms. Japan seems to be sliding back into
a deep recession. The major downside risk remains that all these developments
are seriously eroding the promise which the globalization process has
offered. Contagion can spread quickly and this is what we are experiencing.
This is compounded by the synchronization of business cycles in all
the major economic centers. Emerging markets are reeling from these
adverse developments in industrial countries, though some of them, to
be sure, found themselves with large imbalances.
The policy response of the international community
- We reckon that the foregoing requires more intensive policy dialogue
at national, regional and international levels on what course of action
needs to be taken. The fact that countries are affected differently
underscores the importance of strengthening ownership and transparency
in policy formulation in our institutions if the international community
is to find ways to avert a global recession.
- One key factor that raises hope is that the global slowdown is occurring
at a time of low inflation and strong fiscal positions in major industrial
countries, leaving room for both monetary and fiscal easing. We welcome
that the US authorities have been very proactive in this regard and
we encourage them to persevere on this path. In Europe, there is further
need for both monetary and fiscal easing and a deepening of structural
reform. Japan is in a much more difficult situation and a comprehensive
package of structural reforms are needed in the fiscal, monetary, corporate,
banking and other areas in order to steer the economy out of recession.
Regarding emerging markets, there is no room for complacency and urgent
measures are needed that could contribute to reducing imbalances and
country risk and to enhancing access to capital markets. I
welcome the establishment of a Capital Markets Department at the Fund
and express the hope that it will give particular attention to capital
market access issues.
Sustaining poverty reduction in low-income countries
- The ongoing slowdown in the world economy, which has been exacerbated
by the events of September 2001 are having far reaching implications
for low income countries, and here let me focus on the African continent.
These events have significantly and adversely altered Africa's economic
and social prospects. The prices of our major exports, which were already
declining, are now declining even more sharply, making it difficult
for many countries to exit from heavy debt burdens and to attain external
viability, notwithstanding the fact that the very sharp reduction in
oil prices due to the global slowdown has been a major positive for
many low income African economies. The significant erosion in consumer
and investor confidence have weakened our domestic capital and stock
markets and we are experiencing capital outflows and significant decline
in foreign direct investment which could be particularly serious for
African economies if the global slowdown was deep and protracted. The
glut in the international telecommunications market and low equity prices
in other sectors have disrupted our privatization programs, which had
become an important additional source of development finance. The impact
has also been very severe on the tourism sector, which had become a
major employer and foreign exchange earner for many African countries.
In addition, the cost of insurance has increased sharply following the
September 11 attack. Consequently, the balance of payments and domestic
currencies in a number of countries have come under severe pressure,
raising the specter of inflationary pressures and, in the process, complicating
our policy response to the looming recession. The ensuing situation
has also imposed serious resource constraints in our fight against the
alarming spread of HIV/AIDS and other pandemics as well as with recurring
droughts and floods. We cannot overemphasize the implications of this
on the social fabric, deepening poverty and the potential for accentuating
social tensions and conflicts in our member countries. Moreover a significant
and protracted global slowdown will hinder efforts by African economies
to diversify through export growth and greater integration into the
world economy.
- These developments have come at a time when many of our countries
had begun to reap the fruits of many years of economic reform and to
benefit from debt relief under the enhanced HIPC Initiative. In light
of this, we believe that an urgent, systematic, comprehensive and far-reaching
set of responses needs to be prepared by African countries, in close
partnership with our international development partners, including especially
the IMF to address the consequences of the global slowdown for our economies
and for the longer term, to address Africa's development challenges.
- On our part, let me underscore that the ensuing situation has reinforced
our commitment to reform and development, good governance and conflict
prevention and resolution, and to persevere with prudent macroeconomic
policies and deepening of structural reforms, with a view to ensuring
that resources are used for development and poverty alleviation. Our
first line of defense to the current situation is to adjust our macroeconomic
policies accordingly, knowing very well that markets will not tolerate
those who fail to adjust. However, and as you also acknowledge, we can
only do so much by way of contracting domestic demand and depreciating
the value of our currencies, particularly if the situation continues
to worsen. We therefore consider that the Fund and the international
community should respond quickly to complement our efforts.
Enhanced market access needed
- Given that most low income countries rely heavily on primary exports,
which have now been hit hard by depressed global demand, the call for
improved market access for African exports cannot be overemphasized.
We are very concerned that trade protection and subsidies in the advanced
industrial countries remain excessive in areas such as agriculture,
labor-intensive industrial products as well as services, where developing
countries have a comparative advantage. Moreover, manufactured exports
from developing countries are subject to tariff escalations by industrial
countries, where the degree of protection increases as the level of
processing improves, and this has and continues to inhibit diversification
of Africa's exports towards higher value-added products. While we welcome
recent initiatives by a number of industrial countries to institute
preferential access schemes, we are of the view that these schemes remain
complex, non-transparent and represent only one element of the necessary
response. In addition, both tariff and non-tariff protection in key
sectors in advanced industrial countries need to be reduced further
to provide a sustainable basis for our exports to compete and for our
economies to begin to benefit from the promise of globalization. We
would emphasize that enhancing market access to the poorest in particular,
would provide significant economic benefits to these countries at little
cost to industrial countries. Further steps are also needed by the advanced
industrial countries to transform their preferential access schemes
into substantial improvement in the level and range of actual exports
from Africa to these industrial countries.
Need to further expedite delivery of debt relief
- With the sharp decline in commodity prices, many more countries will
be left with debt burdens above HIPC thresholds for debt sustainability.
In the circumstances, we consider that ways of expediting debt relief
should be explored, including streamlining conditionality regarding
completion point triggers; increasing flexibility with regard to the
one year implementation requirement for the PRSP; and further reducing
the period of track record between the decision and the completion point,
particularly where members are making demonstrable progress, as many
already are, in improving their systems for public expenditure management.
Overall, we urge the Bretton Woods institutions to exercise more flexibility
in applying conditionality to reflect the more difficult circumstances
in which programs are being implemented. We welcome the joint review
of the PRSP that is underway and the proposed review of the HIPC Initiative
by the World Bank and urge that full and comprehensive participation
of African countries be ensured as part of the review process. We particularly
urge that these reviews incorporate realistic assessments of administrative
capacity and technical assistance needs in the relevant countries.
- Current circumstances which are likely to prevail for sometime, also
justify that the Fund and the Bank should actively reassess debt sustainability
for those countries that have reached their decision points with a view
to increase interim assistance as well as to top-up debt relief for
those that have reached completion point. We remain concerned about
the problem of HIPC-to-HIPC debt, including for countries that have
already reached the completion point. In the context of the global slowdown,
it will be difficult for HIPC creditors to mobilize the resources needed
to provide debt relief to other HIPCs at comparable terms with other
creditors and we urge that a resolution of this issue be found by the
international financial community.
- There is also need to revisit the debt burden of some African middle-income
countries. Some of these countries are classified as middle-income countries
and yet they manifest very skewed distributions of income and wealth.
Consequently, the vast majority of their populations live in
poverty, and their high external debt burdens constrain their ability
to effectively address deep-rooted poverty and to fight communicable
diseases. This problem will be compounded by poor revenue performance
due to the ongoing economic slowdown. We therefore believe that debt
relief, beyond traditional Paris Club mechanisms, is required to support
these countries' efforts to alleviate poverty.
Need for accelerating procedures for helping countries in protracted
arrears
- We wish to draw your attention to the plight of countries in protracted
arrears. These countries have no recourse for assistance during these
difficult times and we encourage the Fund to find solutions this problem.
We believe this problem rests with cases involving protracted arrears,
where in some cases overdue interest is exceeding overdue principal.
We sincerely feel that innovative solutions, in line with recent Executive
Board agreement to proceed on a case by case basis, are called for in
order to clear the way forward for these countries, some of which have
been persevering with adjustment for a long time. In this context we
urge the Fund to substantially improve the flexibility of the Rights
Accumulation Program (RAP), to enable the large protracted arrears cases
to swiftly enter and to swiftly graduate from RAP, progress promptly
to the PRGF and enable them to benefit from the enhanced HIPC framework.
Assisting countries emerging from conflict
- We welcome that the Fund is in the process of mobilizing concessional
resources to assist countries emerging from conflict and we urge the
international community to support this endeavor. Where efforts to restore
peace are moving speedily and there is demonstrable commitment to resuscitate
the economy, the Fund should show willingness to waive certain conditions
applied to these countries, including shortening the duration of staff
monitored programs prior to the entry of these members into programs
supported by use of Fund resources. In addition, current efforts aimed
at fighting terrorism should assist in ensuring that the illegal exploitation
of natural resources cannot be used to finance ongoing conflicts.
Need to mobilize more resources to assist low income countries
- It is clear that the poor will be the hardest hit by the ongoing
downturn and the PRGF Trust should be adequately funded to enable it
to address not only the potential for increased demand for resources
under the Interim-PRGF from new requests and augmentation under current
PRGF arrangements, but also to ensure that the need to have a self-sustaining
PRGF is realized in a timely fashion. We urge the Fund to intensify
mobilization of resources for this purpose. In this connection, we wish
to caution that Stand-By arrangements should be used more sparingly
for PRGF eligible countries as this could worsen their debt situation.
It would be also useful to explore a temporary oil facility within the
Fund in order to compensate low income countries in the event of a sharp
increase in oil prices. It is our view that the current discussions
for the Twelfth Review of Quotas may need to be expedited. Furthermore,
there is need for quickly ratifying the Special Allocation of SDRs,
including the possibility of considering a general allocation of SDRs
if global liquidity becomes a problem.
Need for mobilization of more concessional aid
- The role of the creditor countries is particularly important, not
only to ensure that relief is adequate and delivered in a timely manner,
but also that adequate non-debt creating financing continues to flow
to our countries even after HIPC assistance. In this regard, we welcome
the announcement made by the U.S. President, urging International Financial
Institutions to offer grants to developing countries in support of poverty
alleviation efforts. As such we urge industrial countries to increase
their contribution to Official Development Assistance (ODA) from the
current level of 0.24 percent to the UN agreed target of 0.7 percent
of GDP and we hope that the forthcoming UN Finance for Development Conference
will be successful in this regard. As I have mentioned earlier, in stressing
the important role of creditor countries and that of the Fund, we of
course acknowledge the primary responsibility of our countries in pursuing
viable macroeconomic and financial policies, and creating an enabling
environment for private investment.
COMBATING MONEY LAUNDERING AND THE FINANCING OF TERRORISM
- We endorse the Fund's role in combating money laundering and financing
of terrorism. We acknowledge that issues pertaining to money laundering
and financing of terrorism are complex and therefore multiple actors
at the national and international levels must contribute. The UN should
take the lead in defining what and who constitutes terrorism in order
to facilitate the work of other institutions. The Fund should remain
focused on its financial and supervisory role, in line with its mandate.
As it forges cooperation with other agencies, including the FATF, the
Fund should refrain from using its universality of membership to encroach
into law enforcement aspects.
- We continue to emphasize the importance of technical assistance to
make the role of the Fund more effective in combating money laundering
and finance for terrorism. The Fund should not discourage those countries
that intend to benefit from establishing Offshore Financial Centers,
but should instead raise awareness on issues related to money laundering
and financing of terrorism and help catalyze technical assistance for
these countries.
- Even-handedness is of the utmost importance and we would therefore
caution that the burden of fighting money laundering should not weigh
heavily on program countries. While the macroeconomic relevance test
should be an important criterion for Fund involvement, it should also
be recognized that though such issues may not pass the macroeconomic
relevance test in industrial countries, nevertheless we still feel the
policy on fighting money laundering should equally be applied to industrial
countries.
- Finally the current momentum to fight money laundering and financing
for terrorism should be used to revisit all other issues that up to
now, had remained of serious concern only to developing countries: the
prevalence of the so called "conflict diamonds"; bribery in
public procurement, transfer pricing; and, externalization of public
resources through corruption. We urge the international community to
cooperate through their legal and banking systems to stem corruption
in developing countries and repatriate those resources back to the countries
concerned. In this regard, we look forward to the implementation of
the OECD Convention on Combating Bribery of Foreign Public Officials
in International Business Transactions.
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